Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.926522 4.197034 4.489905 4.832977 5.227064 5.669645 6.210229
2025-03-02 3.413345 3.749579 4.133120 4.610073 5.197925 5.914243 6.879771
2025-03-09 3.088710 3.468021 3.919610 4.510776 5.287552 6.312183 7.845067
2025-03-16 2.784489 3.176747 3.658832 4.315454 5.224131 6.507360 8.623714
2025-03-23 2.608474 3.024833 3.553693 4.305374 5.407935 7.096929 10.260938
2025-03-30 2.441986 2.869278 3.426897 4.248572 5.517515 7.616361 12.109157
2025-04-06 2.283004 2.710061 3.279358 4.143080 5.535933 8.002396 14.026523
2025-04-13 2.127746 2.544290 3.108161 3.982236 5.438844 8.162298 15.632286
2025-04-20 2.053922 2.483171 3.077948 4.031243 5.705994 9.140970 20.953716
2025-04-27 1.992026 2.433540 3.059134 4.095330 6.017117 10.384523 30.871905
2025-05-04 1.949872 2.408201 3.073211 4.214958 6.467851 12.288670 59.489247
2025-05-11 1.893156 2.357723 3.044241 4.256917 6.775751 14.091441 158.959458
2025-05-18 1.817573 2.280796 2.976917 4.239782 6.997505 16.078546 NaN
2025-05-25 1.727590 2.177661 2.860854 4.120572 6.959439 17.146259 NaN
2025-06-01 1.661600 2.107019 2.792285 4.083954 7.125632 19.563243 NaN
2025-06-08 1.583793 2.014471 2.681629 3.953626 7.019997 20.543687 NaN
2025-06-15 1.539060 1.970117 2.647630 3.971415 7.332039 25.169610 NaN
2025-06-22 1.490003 1.916424 2.593999 3.942919 7.510585 29.942012 NaN
2025-06-29 1.436972 1.853958 2.521289 3.866403 7.524681 33.728577 NaN
2025-07-06 1.379205 1.781638 2.427523 3.735950 7.335416 34.651194 NaN
2025-07-13 1.354022 1.759518 2.419336 3.788959 7.778473 50.253851 NaN
2025-07-20 1.332061 1.741308 2.416547 3.853816 8.306922 87.999257 NaN
2025-07-27 1.317818 1.734648 2.433702 3.967127 9.104604 380.542423 NaN